We have Super Bowl LX Picks 2026 for you now too. Super Bowl LX is shaping up as a defensive battle royale between the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots on February 8, 2026, at Levi’s Stadium. With Seattle entering as -4.5 favorites and a low total of 45.5, bettors are eyeing value in ATS (against the spread) and over/under lines. Drawing from expert analysis and historical trends, we’ve compiled free picks, breakdowns, and data to help you navigate the action.
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Current Super Bowl LX Odds (as of February 2, 2026)
- Point Spread (ATS): Seahawks -4.5 (opened -3.5; some books at -5) | Patriots +4.5
- Moneyline: Seahawks -210 to -235 | Patriots +190 to +195
- Over/Under Total: 45.5 (opened 46.5; slight under lean at -108)
- Implied Win Probability: Seahawks ~60-65% (per ESPN FPI and betting handle)
- Public Betting Trends: ~67-74% of tickets/money on Seahawks to cover; sharp money mixed on Pats as dogs.
These lines reflect Seattle’s balanced attack (28.4 PPG offense) vs. New England’s elite defense (18.8 PPG allowed, 4th in NFL). Odds from major books like DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM – always shop for the best value.
Free Super Bowl LX Picks 2026(ATS Pick): Patriots +4.5 (+190 Moneyline Option)
Here you go. Free Super Bowl LX Picks 2026. Our ATS pick for you.Â
Our Pick: New England Patriots +4.5
Reasoning: This rematch of Super Bowl XLIX feels closer than the line suggests. The teams are statistically neck-and-neck: similar point differentials (+191 Seahawks vs. +170 Patriots), both 14-3 regular seasons, and playoff defenses shining (Pats allowed 8.7 PPG). Drake Maye’s dual-threat edge (better playmaker than Darnold) and a reliable run game (Rhamondre Stevenson) could exploit Seattle’s occasional vulnerabilities. Pats’ offensive line holds up better against pressure, and their run D limits Kenneth Walker. History favors underdogs in close lines: Faves are 28-28 ATS all-time in Super Bowls. Expect a grind where Pats cover or pull the upset.
Alternative: If you’re bold, take Pats moneyline +190 for higher payout potential.
Free Over/Under Pick: Under 45.5 (-108)
Our Pick: Under 45.5
Reasoning: Both defenses rank top-5 (Seahawks 17.2 PPG allowed league-best; Pats 18.8 PPG 4th), and playoff trends scream low-scoring: Pats held foes under 17 PPG, Seahawks stifled in key spots. Expect clock-chewing drives, red-zone struggles, and turnovers – Darnold and Maye combined for 28 INTs regular season. Super Bowl totals lean under in defensive matchups (5 of last 7 unders), and neutral-site weather favors caution. Combined scoring average: ~45 PPG, but playoffs drop it to ~40. Under hits if it’s a 24-20 type game.
Historical Super Bowl ATS & Over/Under Trends
I always like to look at history of spreads, over/under trends and more on big games. So…here you go. Super Bowl betting history is balanced: Favorites are 28-28 ATS (excluding pushes/pick’ems), and over/unders are nearly even at 30-29 (no total for SB I). Here’s a table of the last 20 Super Bowls (2006–2025) with ATS, O/U results, and key notes – trends show unders hitting 60% in recent defensive eras.
| Super Bowl | Year | Matchup | Spread | Total | Score | ATS Winner | O/U Result | Notes |
| LIX | 2025 | KC vs PHI | KC -1.5 | 48.5 | PHI 40-22 | Underdog (PHI +1.5) | Over | Underdog cover; high-scoring upset |
| LVIII | 2024 | KC vs SF | SF -2 | 47 | KC 25-22 | Underdog (KC +2) | Under | OT thriller; under hits in low-score |
| LVII | 2023 | PHI vs KC | PHI -1 | 51 | KC 38-35 | Underdog (KC +1) | Over | Fave fails ATS; high total exceeds |
| LVI | 2022 | LAR vs CIN | LAR -4.5 | 48.5 | LAR 23-20 | Fave (LAR -4.5) | Under | Close cover; defensive under |
| LV | 2021 | TB vs KC | KC -3 | 54.5 | TB 31-9 | Underdog (TB +3) | Under | Brady upset; big under |
| LIV | 2020 | KC vs SF | KC -1.5 | 53 | KC 31-20 | Fave (KC -1.5) | Under | Comeback win; total stays low |
| LIII | 2019 | NE vs LAR | NE -2.5 | 55.5 | NE 13-3 | Fave (NE -2.5) | Under | Lowest-scoring SB ever |
| LII | 2018 | PHI vs NE | NE -4.5 | 49 | PHI 41-33 | Underdog (PHI +4.5) | Over | Philly Special; high-scoring upset |
| LI | 2017 | NE vs ATL | NE -3 | 57.5 | NE 34-28 (OT) | Fave (NE -3) | Over | Historic comeback; over in OT |
| 50 | 2016 | DEN vs CAR | CAR -5 | 43.5 | DEN 24-10 | Underdog (DEN +5) | Under | Manning’s last game; defensive masterclass |
| XLIX | 2015 | NE vs SEA | Pick’em | 47.5 | NE 28-24 | NE (Pick’em) | Over | Butler INT; even line |
| XLVIII | 2014 | SEA vs DEN | DEN -2 | 47.5 | SEA 43-8 | Underdog (SEA +2) | Over | Blowout; Legion of Boom dominates |
| XLVII | 2013 | BAL vs SF | SF -4.5 | 48 | BAL 34-31 | Underdog (BAL +4.5) | Over | Lights out; close cover |
| XLVI | 2012 | NYG vs NE | NE -2.5 | 53 | NYG 21-17 | Underdog (NYG +2.5) | Under | Manningham catch; under hits |
| XLV | 2011 | GB vs PIT | GB -2.5 | 45 | GB 31-25 | Fave (GB -2.5) | Over | Rodgers MVP; over by 11 |
| XLIV | 2010 | NO vs IND | IND -5 | 57 | NO 31-17 | Underdog (NO +5) | Under | Onside kick; under by 9 |
| XLIII | 2009 | PIT vs ARI | PIT -7 | 46.5 | PIT 27-23 | Underdog (ARI +7) | Over | Holmes toe-tap; dog cover |
| XLII | 2008 | NYG vs NE | NE -12 | 54.5 | NYG 17-14 | Underdog (NYG +12) | Under | Helmet catch; massive upset |
| XLI | 2007 | IND vs CHI | IND -7 | 46.5 | IND 29-17 | Fave (IND -7) | Under | Rainy game; under by 0.5 |
| XL | 2006 | PIT vs SEA | PIT -4 | 47 | PIT 21-10 | Fave (PIT -4) | Under | Bettis farewell; under by 16 |
(Trends: Underdogs 11-9 ATS in last 20; Unders 11-9. Faves win SU 12-8 but cover only 6 times.)
Super Bowl LX Coin Toss Odds & Predictions
For 2026: Odds are +100 for heads/tails at major books (some -105 with juice). Both teams may call tails (common strategy), but history shows no edge. Our pick: Tails for the slight historical lean – but it’s a flip! Here’s our full article on the Super Bowl coin toss for you.Â
Tips for Your Super Bowl Party
Skip real bets on the toss – instead, make it a free game! Flip a coin with friends and tie winners to prizes from our Super Bowl Squares or Bingo Cards. Add it to your printable prop bets sheets for extra fun.
Check out our free tools:
Head to SportsBrackets.net for more Super Bowl LX printables and guides. Enjoy the game – may your coin (and team) land right!
Disclaimer
This article is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All odds and data are approximate and subject to change. SportsBrackets.net does not offer, promote, or facilitate real-money gambling. We encourage responsible participation-if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, seek help from resources like the National Council on Problem Gambling (1-800-GAMBLER) or visit 1800gambler.net. No guarantees on predictions or outcomes. Always verify with licensed sportsbooks in your jurisdiction.
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