Rank Group Teams Why this ranking 1 D USA (Host), Australia, Paraguay, UEFA Playoff C Host advantage + two lower-ranked teams. USA expected to win group. 2 A Mexico (Host), Colombia, South Africa, UEFA Playoff D Mexico at home + South Africa ranked 58th. 3 C Spain, Morocco, Egypt, Jordan Spain clear favorite; Jordan (68th) is lowest-ranked qualified team. 4 B Canada (Host), Switzerland, Qatar, UEFA Playoff A Canada at home; Qatar weak since 2022. 5 L Italy, Austria, Saudi Arabia, UEFA Playoff B Italy rebuilding but still Pot 1; rest are manageable. 6 E Argentina, Uruguay, Algeria, Haiti Argentina and Uruguay both top-10, but Haiti (89th) softens it. 7 F France, Japan, Ecuador, New Zealand France heavy favorite; New Zealand ranked 94th. 8 K Germany, South Korea, Panama, Ghana Germany should dominate; Panama and Ghana mid-tier. 9 J Belgium, Iran, Scotland, Inter-confed Playoff 2 Belgium aging but still strong; three solid teams fighting for 2nd. 10 I Portugal, Croatia, Uzbekistan, Inter-confed Playoff 1 Portugal and Croatia both top-15; Uzbekistan improving fast. 11 G England, Senegal, Tunisia, Cape Verde England favorite, but Senegal (2022 quarterfinalist) and Tunisia make it tight. 12 H Brazil, Netherlands, Côte d’Ivoire, Curaçao Brazil + Netherlands (top-10) + African champions Côte d’Ivoire. Clear Group of Death.



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